Yerevan appealed to Moscow with an appeal to defend the sovereign territory of Armenia. Secretary of the Security Council of Armenia Armen Grigoryan stated this on the air of public television. “We appeal to Russia within the framework of the bilateral Treaty of 1997 and in line with the logic of mutual obligations, with a call to protect the Armenian territorial integrity,” he said. MK asked the experts about a possible reaction to this request.
In order for Russia to make a decision to provide assistance, there must be a really clear violation of Armenia’s sovereignty. Military expert Yuri Lyamin thinks.
– By agreement with Russia, Armenia, as a member of the Collective Security Treaty Organization, can apply for military support. But in the end, the decision will still be for Russia: to provide assistance or not, and to what extent.
– If Russia nevertheless decides to provide military assistance, will the forces of our military base in Gyumri be sufficient or will it be necessary to introduce additional troops?
– If Russia decides to interfere “seriously”, then not only the base in Gyumri will be involved, but also our other forces stationed in the Caucasus. If such a political decision is made, then Russia has enough strength to direct the situation in the right direction.
– How can the intervention of the Russian Armed Forces affect the behavior of Azerbaijan?
– Personally, I do not think that Azerbaijan itself wants a major conflict. Therefore, if Russia intervenes, he will most likely weaken his activity. Most likely, Azerbaijan is counting on Turkey’s help, but I think the Turks will not go to an open conflict with Russia for the sake of Baku. Erdogan, of course, pursues a policy “on the edge of a knife”, but still tries to avoid direct conflicts with large countries.
Roman Silantyev, professor of the Department of World Culture at Moscow State Linguistic University, agrees with the opinion of the military expert.
– In accordance with the agreement, which the Armenian politician speaks about, we must one way or another directly defend the territory of Armenia. The question is how these territories are demarcated, where Armenia ends and Karabakh begins. The territory is mountainous, and this may cause problems. Personally, I deeply doubt that right tomorrow Baku will attack Yerevan. Provocations and local clashes, of course, will be, but they have been before.